Oct 24

West Brom v Hull-Hull will be looking to win four games on the bounce after beating three London teams in a row.  West Brom will be looking to bounce back after the thrashing handed out by Manchester United. Both of these teams have conceded 11 goals so far in the Premiership, but it’s Hull who are in the higher position in the league. 

Betting tip (losing)- Hull have shocked alot of people with their form, only losing 5-0 to Wigan this season.  But this has also overshadowed West Brom’s good start, their best in the Premiership.  I’m going to bet against Hull in this game, there’s no doubt they deserve to be where they are in the league, but they’ve had that bit of luck on their side to get those good results.  Back West Brom to win at odds of 2.34.

Wigan v Aston Villa-This will be Martin O’Neill’s 100th game as manager of Aston Villa.  Villa may find this fixture difficult, only winning 1 out of the 6 games they have played against Wigan.  Steve Bruce’s men played well against Liverpool last week and were unlucky not to to come away from Anfield with at least one point.  Last season Aston Villa took the three points in this fixture, winning 2-1.

Betting Tip (winner)- If I was to bet on who was going to win this match then I would be leaning towards Wigan.  But I’m more interested in the the ‘Over 2.5′goals market for this fixture.  With Villa only keeping 1 clean sheet in 16 away matches and with both teams capable of scoring goals, I’ll be going for over 2.5 goals, priced at 2.04 on Betfair.

Chelsea v Liverpool-  Liverpool have shown the character that’s needed to win the Premiership in the last two games, they’ve managed to win both matches despite trailing.  Chelsea on the other hand have been in great form despite missing key players, the game last week against Boro showed exactly why they are favourites for the Championship crown.  Liverpool will be missing Torres again due to injury and Robbie Keane may also miss the match. 

Betting tip (losing)- Liverpool have dropped the most league points to Chelsea compared to any other team they have played.  Both of these teams have been in great form, with 20 points each.  The blues are a force when playing at home with 86 games without defeat, although Liverpool were the last team before Arsenal to beat Chelsea at home.  This is a difficult one to call, but I find it hard to think that Chelsea will lose this game.  I’m predicting a draw, maybe 1-1, back the draw at odds of 3.3.

UPDATE- Last weekend produced a few shocks in my eyes and that’s not including Tottenham winning a game!!  I was wrong to think Hull would be able to keep up their good form of late and even more wrong to think Chelsea would not be beaten at home!  Liverpool have again shown that they are challengers to the title, but can they keep this good run going?  In the end it was only one correct tip out of three, Wigan v Villa produced over 2.5 goals as predicted.

Blackburn v Middlesbrough
Everton v Man Utd
Sunderland v Newcastle
West Brom v Hull
Chelsea v Liverpool
Man City v Stoke
Portsmouth v Fulham
Tottenham v Bolton
West Ham v Arsenal
Wigan v Aston Villa

written by premiershipbanter \\ tags: , , , , , , ,

Oct 17

Liverpool v Wigan- Babel and Torres are likely to be missing after they both picked up injuries mid-week on international duty, where Wigan also have doubts about Heskey and Zaki.  Wigan have a poor record against the top 4, in 17 attempts they have never beaten any of them.  When both teams met last year this fixture ended 1-1. 

Betting tip (loser):Liverpool have shown that they have the winning mentality to lift the Premiership this season with a come back display against Manchester City and Wigan may find it hard to breach the Liverpool defence if their top strikers Zaki and Heskey are missing.  The odds show that the home team are the big favourites to win this match (odds of 1.45).  It’s a risk to oppose the home team, but I’m predicting Wigan to get a point at Anfield, especially if key man Heskey plays.  The best option is to lay Liverpool, currently at odds of 1.46 on Betfair (so if you want to win £10 you will only have to put down the liability of £4.60).

UPDATE- Liverpool 3-2 Wigan. For long periods in the game it looks like this bet might just come off, anyone who bets in play may well have been able to trade out to guarantee profit when Wigan were in the lead.  But you have to give credit to Liverpool for the character they’ve show in the last two games when they’ve trailed (although no matter what Benitez says the sending off did help a little bit).  Also great praise has to given to Zaki at the moment I would say he is the most on form striker in the Premiership, what a great volley!

Arsenal v Everton
Aston Villa v Portsmouth
Bolton v Blackburn Rovers
Fulham v Sunderland
Liverpool v Wigan
Manchester United v West Brom
Middlesbrough v Chelsea
Hull City v West Ham
Stoke v Tottenham
Newcastle v Man City

written by premiershipbanter \\ tags: , , , ,

Oct 03

The word meltdown has been used alot in the news this week, not only to describe the state of the financial markets but also mainly to describe Newcastle manager Joe Kinnear’s press conference.  With an estimated 50 swear words directed at the press by Kinnear, he would certainly feel at home in an episode of Ramsay’s Kitchen Nightmares.   After winning two bets in a row, lets how we can continue our run.

Tottenham v Hull- Can Spurs win their first league game this season? Or will they be beaten by Hull at home like their red rivals last week?  Hull have yet to lose on the road this season and will definitely give Tottenham a hard test.  The last time the two teams played each other in the league, Spurs came out 1-0 winners, but that was in 1978!!

Betting tip (LOSER):Tottenham haven’t looked a threat upfront and it’s very hard to tell where the next goal is coming from, but Hull have yet to keep a clean sheet.  If Spurs can get ahead then they’ll have a chance at picking up the three points.  But I’ll be looking at the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market and backing ‘Over 2.5 goals’ at odds of 1.81.   It might be interesting to also look into Fraizer Campbell to score against Hull, the team he was on loan to last season(if he starts).

Man City v Liverpool- Richard Dunne is an injury doubt for Manchester City, but Bulgarian Martin Petrov could start.  City have won three out of their six league games this season and Liverpool  can boast an unbeaten record. 

Betting tip (WINNER): City have not scored against Liverpool in the league for over 9 hour of football and the scoreline between the two teams has either been 0-0 or 0-1.  But I’m going to go against the odds here and back ‘Over 2.5 goals’ at odds of 2.28 on Betfair.  Liverpool have some fantastic attacking players and I will hoping(preying) that City can score at least one goal against their mean defence!!  Let’s hope in the selected matches it will be raining goals!!

UPDATE- It was one winning and one losing bet for the weekend, backing over 2.5 goals made an easy winning bet for the City match where the score ended up as 3-2 to Liverpool.  Although it was the Spurs match which let us down this weekend, Tottenham just couldn’t break down a resilient Hull defence. Backing over 2.5 goals in a Tottenham match may not prove to be so profitable this season with them finding it hard to hit the back of the net.

Blackburn v Man Utd
Sunderland v Arsenal
West Brom v Fulham
Wigan v Middlesbrough
Chelsea v Aston Villa
Everton v Newcastle
Man City v Liverpool
Portsmouth v Stoke
Tottenham v Hull
West Ham v Bolton

written by premiershipbanter \\ tags: , , , , , ,

Sep 26

Pound coins were in the news this week, with an estimated £30 million fake £1 coins in circulation in the UK.  A word of advice to Tottehnam, if Manchester United just so happened to have paid Berbatov’s thirty million pounds transfer fee in pound coins then they may want to start double checking!!

Everton v Liverpool

The big game this week has to the be the 179th Merseyside derby.  If you are fan of backing red cards and yellow cards then this is the game for you,  16 out of the 32 meetings have resulted in red cards.  I can always guarantee Phil Neville will find himself in the book for a hasty challenge (1.9 odds on Betfair) and an own goal may just occur once again in this fixture!!!

Betting tips:  Who will win this derby?…Who knows?  It’s hard to predict these derby games, but judging on form Liverpool look to be likely winners, especially with Everton only picking up points away from home this season.  But the main bet I’ll be backing is Stephen Gerrard to score.  Needing one more to make 100 goals, what better team his 100th against? Back him to score at anytime at odds of 3.75 on PaddyPower.  Also back Robbie Keane to score at odds of 3.25.

Wigan v Man City

The last time City played Wigan away from home the scoreline was 1-1.  From a quick glance this game may look like a Man City win, but City have failed to beat Wigan in the Premiership.  Wigan have been in good form lately, with the 5-0 win over Hull being their biggest result this season.

Betting tip: City are the favourites to win this game at odds of 2.46 (Betfair) with the home team priced at odds of around 3.25.  Let go for the value bet here and back Wigan, they’ve been in good form and Man City may be a little weary after having to play extra time mid-week.  This looks like it could be cracking game, I would like to think there will be goals galore!!!

UPDATE- The Merseyside Derby produced alot of whistle blowing moments by the referee, meaning that there was no flow to the game.  Liverpool deserved the victory (as predicted), but Everton can count themselves unlucky to have Cahill sent off.  There was no luck in picking Gerrard and Keane to score, but I had to back Neville to get a yellow card when I saw the odds for a yellow jump up to around 2.3 on Betfair, so when he made that crashing challenge I celebrated like it was a goal!!

The Wigan game brought us the biggest betting winner of the season, courtesy of a Zaki penalty.  Hopefully this will be the turning point and we can get a good run of winning bets now.  Goals were predicted in this game, if only I had backed over 2.5 goals as well!!

Arsenal 1-2 Hull
Aston Villa 2-1 Sunderland
Everton 0-2 Liverpool
Fulham 1-2 West Ham
Man Utd 2-0 Bolton
Middlesbrough 0-1 West Brom
Newcastle 1-2 Blackburn
Stoke 0-2 Chelsea
Portsmouth 2-0 Tottenham
Wigan 2-1 Man City

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